ET Live – 2.19.19

February 19, 2019

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Featured Notes

But We Need the Eggs

By Ben Hunt | February 10, 2019 | 1

We’re all passengers in the backseat of the State-driven car, and we all suspect that our drivers might be high-functioning lunatics, and we’re all terrified about what they might do next.

But we need the eggs.

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Notes from the Diamond #6: Hittin’ ‘Em Where They Ain’t (Part 1)

By David Salem | February 14, 2019 | 0

In baseball and in investing, how do we distinguish truly great practitioners from merely good ones? Let’s start by looking at two greats who revolutionized how the game is played – Branch Rickey in baseball and David Swensen in investing.

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Pricing Power (pt. 2) – Intellectual Property

By Ben Hunt | February 6, 2019 | 1

Your mother was a hamster and your father smelt of elderberries … the pricing power found in intellectual property. It’s not as easy as it looks.

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You Are Here

By Ben Hunt | January 11, 2019 | 27

The greatest risk to your portfolio is a change in the zeitgeist. A change from deflation to inflation. A change from cooperative international games to competitive games. A change from capital markets to political utilities.

I think it’s all happening.

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The Road to Tannu Tuva, Pt. 2

By Rusty Guinn | January 29, 2019 | 0

The next stops in our discovery of the process of discovery? A town of 1,282 people and the mind of a German physicist named Arnold Sommerfeld.

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Modern Monetary Theory or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the National Debt

By Ben Hunt | January 17, 2019 | 20

Modern Monetary Theory is neither modern nor a theory. It’s a post hoc rationalization of politically expedient policy that makes us feel better about all the bad stuff we’ve done with money and debt in service to Team Elite.

And all the bad stuff we’re going to do in the future.

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Most Recent Notes

The Zeitgeist | 2.19.2019

By Rusty Guinn | February 19, 2019 | 0 Comments
Posted:

In which we learn about new voices in the hospital, we pile on the Fed, and we exult in stocks “edging up” on trade talk progress (I’ve forgotten what take we’re on).

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C.A.F.

By Rusty Guinn | February 18, 2019 | 1 Comment
Posted:

The hardest job for any financial adviser is knowing when a fiduciary mindset should guide us to take a stand, and when it should guide us to adopting flexibility. If we claim to have a process, we have to have an answer for this.

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The Alchemy of Narrative

By Demonetized | February 18, 2019 | 0 Comments
Posted:

Every investor who wants to understand narrative and its impact on markets should read “The Alchemy of Finance”, by George Soros.

ET contributor Demonetized rediscovers the joys of Soros. It’s all reflexivity, all the time.

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The Zeitgeist | 2.15.2019

By Rusty Guinn | February 15, 2019 | 0 Comments
Posted:

Lots of ‘playing’, ditching New York, and a piece of hard-hitting analysis demonstrating that sitting at the crossroads of government and business can be personally profitable.

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Duck and Cover

By Rusty Guinn | February 14, 2019 | 2 Comments
Posted:

We don’t have to treat it like a cardinal sin any time an author, politician, consultant, adviser or expert tries to make us feel a certain way. Just don’t be the only one at the table who doesn’t realize what’s happening.

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The Zeitgeist | 2.14.2019

By Rusty Guinn | February 14, 2019 | 0 Comments
Posted:

Today’s Zeitgeist poses a riddle: what is noxious, may not be a catalyst, extends a rally and awaits cues all at the exact same time?

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Notes from the Diamond #6: Hittin’ ‘Em Where They Ain’t (Part 1)

By David Salem | February 14, 2019 | 0 Comments
Posted: ,

In baseball and in investing, how do we distinguish truly great practitioners from merely good ones? Let’s start by looking at two greats who revolutionized how the game is played – Branch Rickey in baseball and David Swensen in investing.

Read more

The Zeitgeist | 2.13.2019

By Rusty Guinn | February 13, 2019 | 0 Comments
Posted:

In the 8th or extra innings (what about the 9th?), allocations to alternatives, fixed income ETFs, offensive hacking and “markets up on trade deal hopes” (again).

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Rabbit Hole – Who’s Being Naive, Kay? Also, DARPA, Ribbon Farm, and Unknown Knowns

By Neville Crawley | February 13, 2019 | 3 Comments
Posted: ,

ET contributor Neville Crawley is back from time well spent at an amazing library, with thoughts on no-end state architecture, marketing alpha, DOD AI, wonderfully goofy blogs, and a new addition to the Rumsfeld canon: unknown knowns.

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The Zeitgeist | 2.12.2019

By Rusty Guinn | February 12, 2019 | 0 Comments
Posted:

Maine cashes in, investors cash out, stocks get a lift from trade hopes (version 28), the Brexit pantomime and a shadow over strawberry fields.

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They Live!

By Demonetized | February 11, 2019 | 6 Comments
Posted:

If you view the world through Clear Eyes, and hold loosely to your convictions, you’ll have an easier time adapting to a dramatic shift in the market regime than your competitors who’ve been lulled into a Narrative-induced fugue state. You’ll make up your own damn mind. You, your clients, and your business will all be better off for it.

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The Zeitgeist | 2.11.2019

By Rusty Guinn | February 11, 2019 | 0 Comments
Posted:

Why VC loves fintech for some reason, populist messages, “optimism over trade talks” take 25, and more popullsm.

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But We Need the Eggs

By Ben Hunt | February 10, 2019 | 1 Comment
Posted:

We’re all passengers in the backseat of the State-driven car, and we all suspect that our drivers might be high-functioning lunatics, and we’re all terrified about what they might do next.

But we need the eggs.

Read more

Blast from the Past

By Rusty Guinn | February 9, 2019 | 10 Comments
Posted:

What the rise and fall of baseball cards can and can’t tell us about bubbles and the turning of markets into utilities.

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The Zeitgeist | 2.8.2019

By Rusty Guinn | February 8, 2019 | 1 Comment
Posted:

Fawning Tesla press, coming storms, ESG and data, striking a balance between tasteful display of art collections and pay cuts at banks, and post-Yorkshire pudding walks.

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The Zeitgeist | 2.7.2019

By Rusty Guinn | February 7, 2019 | 0 Comments
Posted:

Today’s specials: Megadevelopments in Chicago, online grocery shopping, slowdowns at Apple, vagueness at Alphabet and Canadian weed.

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Pricing Power (pt. 2) – Intellectual Property

By Ben Hunt | February 6, 2019 | 1 Comment
Posted:

Your mother was a hamster and your father smelt of elderberries … the pricing power found in intellectual property. It’s not as easy as it looks.

Read more

The Zeitgeist | 2.6.2019

By Rusty Guinn | February 6, 2019 | 0 Comments
Posted:

In today’s edition, it’s captain obvious takes on the ECB, is there anything active funds CAN do?, more Brexit and dead-cat bounces.

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All Along the Watchtower

By Rusty Guinn | February 6, 2019 | 3 Comments
Posted:

Trust in media is being debased from without and within. The Clear Eyed, Full-Hearted answer? Don’t pick and choose. Set yourself against both threats.

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The Zeitgeist | 2.5.2019

By Rusty Guinn | February 5, 2019 | 0 Comments
Posted:

In which we hear the term, ‘megadeal hunger’, contemplate a Larry Fink v. Ken Fisher celebrity steel cage match, and boggle at the unironic advocacy of regulation as the solution for lack of trust in blockchain applications.

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