Search Results: art of the deal

Hook, Line and Sinker

By Rusty Guinn | October 1, 2020 | 9 Comments
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…From Congress [CBS DFW] American Airlines to Begin Furloughing 19,000 Workers After Pelosi Fails to Agree to Deal with Mnuchin [Breitbart] Breitbart was able to integrate not only a political…

The Frustrated Money Manager

By Ben Hunt | October 8, 2020 | 12 Comments
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…years earlier [2015], part of a €528m Vatican portfolio “derived from donations” bought structured notes containing CDS as part of a bet that Hertz would not default on its debts…

Fractures in the US Energy Independence Narrative

By Ben Hunt | October 20, 2020 | 2 Comments
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…knowledge around the business of sport was about to crack apart. This was in mid-February, well before anyone was considering (publicly, at least) canceling the Olympics or eliminating attendance in…

Hunger Games

By Ben Hunt | February 4, 2021 | 31 Comments
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…whichever is lower.’)” Per the WSJ, “New and existing Robinhood shareholders participated in the deal, which is structured as a note that conveys the option to buy additional shares at…

The Recipe for Agent Orange – The Projection Racket, Pt. 3

By Rusty Guinn | December 1, 2022 | 27 Comments
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get to shout yay, patriotism! Instead of dealing seriously with the manifold problems of a factionalized two-party equilibrium embedded in our electoral system, we get to shout yay, democracy! Parties,…

The Opposite of 2008

By Ben Hunt | March 2, 2021 | 27 Comments
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…booms kill bonds. In preparing the article I came across a book that consolidated a series of Barron’s articles from the 1920s. This is an excerpt. Consider this excerpt from…

The Fed’s Kryptonite

By Peter Cecchini | March 4, 2021 | 4 Comments
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the output gap. The first two rounds of stimulus have largely filled that gap. With annualized fourth quarter 2019 GDP at $21.75 trillion versus annualized fourth quarter 2020 GDP at…

A Tiger Can’t Change Its Stripes

By Ben Hunt | March 30, 2021 | 32 Comments
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…in the form of total return swaps and similar instruments with Wall Street banks. A total return swap is a contract with a broker/dealer counterparty where you agree to be…

The Missing Wall of Worry

By Ben Hunt | April 14, 2021 | 0 Comments
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…of the good news / bad news diffusion charts that all the big bank research groups put out – they’re all at max good news. Look at the AAII Bull-Bear…

Financing the American Home

By Marc Rubinstein | May 18, 2021 | 3 Comments
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…private capital to backstop the mortgage market would recur again. It stems partly from the risk involved (30 years is a long time) and partly because having established a foothold…

Mortgage Mayhem

By Marc Rubinstein | May 18, 2021 | 5 Comments
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…the past month, these four mortgage debutantes have lost a quarter of their market cap.  On his first quarter earnings call this week, the Chairman, President & CEO of United…

ET Zeitgeist: Raccoons Never Sleep

By Ben Hunt | May 28, 2021 | 5 Comments
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…CNBC … Honestly, I kinda like Chamath-the-CNBC-talking-head. He’s iconoclastic and smart. A little too much Ben Shapiro / college debate team-esque with the “if I talk really fast maybe you’ll…

The Fed Won the Narrative Battle in May

By Ben Hunt | June 11, 2021 | 0 Comments
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…go down after “hot” inflation news. This was our signal at the start of June, before rates started to go down at all. The Fed won this narrative battle in…

Reinventing the Financial System

By Marc Rubinstein | June 15, 2021 | 4 Comments
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…money was invented as a solution to a problem in the system of barter. They presumed that before money, people would simply swap goods and services. But barter presented a…

Ever Grande

By Marc Rubinstein | July 26, 2021 | 5 Comments
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…guest contributors, Marc’s post may not represent the views of Epsilon Theory or Second Foundation Partners, and should not be construed as advice to purchase or sell any security. When…

Big Change in the Narrative Weather

By Ben Hunt | October 4, 2021 | 0 Comments
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I’ll start with the conclusion: Our directional equity Narrative signals have switched from bullish to bearish, and our equity trend narrative signals now point to a 0% allocation to directional…

Why Am I Reading This Now? 04.25.22

By Harper Hunt | April 25, 2022 | 0 Comments
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Recent major media stories that feel to us like they’re part of a larger Narrative campaign. Twitter Would Elevate Elon Musk to New Media Mogul Status www.bloomberg.com Global Military Spending…

Seems Like Old Times

By Ben Hunt | May 25, 2022 | 0 Comments
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euro-area gov’t bond yields was the first chart I’d look at in the morning and the last chart I’d look at in the evening. Time to start doing that again….

Why Am I Reading This Now? 05.30.22

By Harper Hunt | May 31, 2022 | 0 Comments
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Recent major media stories that feel to us like they’re part of a larger Narrative campaign. Justice Department to review police response to Uvalde school shooting www.cnn.com Russian oil: EU…

Being Human in a LARPing World

By Ben Hunt | June 8, 2022 | 38 Comments
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…anger. Anger at the deranged, violence-fantasist teenager who murdered children with a military-cartoonified rifle. Anger at the LARPing, violence-fantasist adults who dressed up as a police SWAT team with military-cartoonified…