ET Pro Regulation Monitor

The Acrobat and the Fly

By Rusty Guinn | June 1, 2018 | 0 Comments

Many of the memes that drive our political behaviors inherently push us toward Competitive Games and tribalism. Resisting these memes means losing both arguments and credibility – and we have to be willing to do both.

This Is Why We Can’t Have Nice Things

By Ben Hunt | May 22, 2018 | 1 Comment

Part 13 of the Notes from the Field series discusses The Narrative Machine, which can help us see the invisible memes that drive our political behaviors. Because you’re smart enough to make up your own damn mind.

The Many Moods of Macro

By Rusty Guinn | May 9, 2018 | 0 Comments

Part 2 of the multi-part Three-Body Alpha series, introduced in Rusty’s recent Investing with Icarus note. The Series seeks to explore how the increasing transformation of fundamental and economic data into abstractions may influence strategies for investing — and how it should influence investors accessing them.

The Narrative Giveth and The Narrative Taketh Away

By Ben Hunt | April 10, 2018 | 0 Comments

Two negative narratives have derailed ebullient markets – Inflation and Trade War. While I think both are here to stay, I’ve put inflation through the Narrative Machine first. The result? Inflation is Coming.

Investing with Icarus

By Rusty Guinn | March 28, 2018 | 0 Comments

The allure of a fundamental truth is powerful. Investors are hungry for that kind of clarity about markets, but it doesn’t exist. In the first in a series, Rusty discusses a framework for investing in a time of Icarus.

The Icarus Moment

By Ben Hunt | March 21, 2018 | 5 Comments

We live in a Cartoon Age, an era not of alienation per Karl Marx, but of alienation per Groucho Marx. What’s the cause, what’s the future, and what do we do about all this? It’s a TL;DR cri de coeur in Part 12 of Epsilon Theory’s Notes from the Field series.

What is it, really?

By Rusty Guinn | March 6, 2018 | 0 Comments

The #1 question investors ought to ask of a financial services company trying to sell them something is: “What is it, really?” If you don’t know what you’re investing in, you’re liable to end up eating a lot of crunchy frogs.

Good Job!

By Ben Hunt | March 1, 2018 | 0 Comments

This is Part 11 of Ben’s Notes from the Field series. I don’t need to calculate a Sortino ratio to know if my dogs are doing a Good Job. Same with active investment management. Same with active citizenship. It’s all about embracing Convexity, not as a mathematical cartoon, but as a philosophy.

Is Volatility Back?

By Ben Hunt | March 1, 2018 | Comments Off on Is Volatility Back?

On this special episode of the Epsilon Theory podcast, we share an excerpt from a conference call we recorded on February 13 discussing our thoughts on the market selloff earlier in the month. You’ll hear from Christopher Guptill, co-CEO and chief investment officer at Broadmark Asset Management and Dr. Ben Hunt, author of Epsilon Theory.

The Fundamentals Are Sound

By Rusty Guinn | February 8, 2018 | 0 Comments

Most investors think that other investors think that last week’s correction was about vol-selling. The real story? Everybody knows that everybody knows that inflation will change the way portfolios are built and managed.