ET Pro Geopolitical Conflict Monitor

Why Am I Reading This Now? 12.04.23

By Harper Hunt | December 4, 2023 | 0 Comments

Recent major media stories that feel to us like they’re part of a larger Narrative campaign.

Deja Vu All Over Again

By Ben Hunt | December 1, 2023 | 0 Comments

If the Fed cuts four times in 2024, it’s because we are having a nasty recession. If we don’t have a nasty recession, I don’t think the Fed cuts at all. Why not? Because Common Knowledge. Because everyone knows that everyone knows that inflation is still a thing, allowing companies to pass along higher prices to maintain/expand margins even as labor pushes for higher wages.

We are SOOOO not done with inflation.

Cursed Knowledge #25: Truffle Hunting

By Harper Hunt | December 1, 2023 | 3 Comments

Truffles are well known to be one of the rarest, and most expensive, delicacies available. What’s not known is the cutthroat world of truffle hunting. Where it’s not uncommon to see fraud, theft, sabotage, and even murder.

Pain, Political Vibes, and Being a Bat

By Ben Hunt | November 28, 2023 | 50 Comments

The core problem for Team Blue isn’t the candidate, it’s the team. Specifically, it’s the very online population of Team Blue journalists, academics and political operatives and their pseudo-religious, dogmatic urge to explain why aggregate economic statistics are more meaningful than lived experience.

Why Am I Reading This Now? 11.27.23

By Harper Hunt | November 27, 2023 | 0 Comments

Recent major media stories that feel to us like they’re part of a larger Narrative campaign.

Argentina Leaps

By Ben Hunt | November 22, 2023 | 23 Comments

The election of Javier Milei as Argentina’s president is a classic Great Unmooring event. Don’t get me wrong – I am totally rooting for the guy and I am not saying this is a Bad Thing TM. In fact, I think Milei is absolutely right to take a flamethrower to the Argentine central bank and entrenched public sector. But it is a profound unmooring all the same, not just for Argentina but for the world.

Breaking News #9: Hold My Beer

By Harper Hunt | November 22, 2023 | 1 Comment

With primary season getting into full swing, there is a lot going on in the political world. Candidates are taking things up a notch with their aggressive tweets and comments to try to stay relevant as a Trump vs. Biden election seems more likely every day. And Trump and Biden themselves seem happy to sit back and stay out of the fray while enjoying their leads in the polls. In this episode, we break down the current state of election 2024. We discuss whether the primaries matter anymore and how things are playing out in narrative world. We also cover why inflation may not have been as low as it seemed in the most recent CPI report, whether Jack’s pivot on Jared Kushner is warranted and the benefits of keeping a personal archive.

Why Am I Reading This Now? 11.20.23

By Harper Hunt | November 20, 2023 | 0 Comments

Recent major media stories that feel to us like they’re part of a larger Narrative campaign.

Days of Theater

By Ben Hunt | November 17, 2023 | 0 Comments

Every macroeconomic data release will be parsed and presented by Wall Street and the White House to pressure the Fed to lower the price of money. That storytelling effort will be particularly strong when everyone is paying attention on a Day of Theater.

Like a CPI release.

Cursed Knowledge #24: Hollywood Accounting

By Harper Hunt | November 17, 2023 | 1 Comment

We know that Hollywood is a multibillion dollar industry that shows no signs of slowing anytime soon. So then why do so many studios report that their movies failed? Especially when most of these movies are incredibly popular and by all accounts should be financially successful. Well turns out Hollywood has some tricks up their sleeves and, as The Producers taught us, under the right circumstances you can make more money with a flop than a hit.