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The Two Rings

Rusty Guinn

September 10, 2025·59 comments

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Two days. Three days tops.

I’d say that’s about how long we will be able to have a substantive discussion about the gruesome, entirely preventable murder of Iryna Zarutska on a train in Charlotte last month.

It’s a discussion we need to have, too. Policies and laws drafted in the name of social justice – largely promulgated by Democrats – have gutted the capacity for American cities to grapple with the recidivist nature of many kinds of criminality. Multiple blue states, including the one I live in, have successfully rolled back or resisted sentence enhancements for repeat offenses. Others have pushed back on “three strikes” laws by eliminating them, requiring much higher standards for qualifying offenses, or providing expanded capacity for similarly social justice-minded judges to exercise judicial discretion in reducing sentences. The GOP doesn’t get off the hook here, either. Republican lawmakers in several states have reached across the aisle to gut sentences and repeat offender laws in response to overcrowded and expensive prisons that placed strain on already stretched state and local budgets.

How we grapple with the intersection of mental illness and criminality is very much a part of the same issue, even if the alliances are a bit different. Democrats and civil libertarians have pushed back for decades on the involuntary commitment of those whose mental illness poses obvious threats to themselves and others. Republicans talk a bigger game on the importance of addressing the role of mental illness in criminality more broadly, but in practice that passion rarely extends very far into budget deliberations. There’s a reason “mental illness” is a sort of throwaway issue for those of us in the 2A camp. It is inconvenient, but very obviously true, that the inalienable right to bear arms that makes our republic safer from oppression also makes it less safe from criminals. Mental illness is a useful tool for deflection from these rhetorical soft spots in our politics, and when it comes down to it, most of us aren’t really willing to do anything about the actual problem. Doing something either makes us feel icky and oppressive toward less privileged groups (Democrats) or well, darn, we looked at it and it just seems so expensive (Republicans).

The bigger reason it has been impossible to do anything about the concentration of criminality in recidivist or mentally ill populations in recent years, however, is that the real-world questions simply got co-opted into a much larger symbol. It’s a process we have previously analogized to Tolkienesque rings of power – seductive, powerful tools we think will allow us to achieve our well-intended ends but which inevitably lead us to serve the very different ends of someone else entirely.

There are magic rings in our world, too. Yet they are fashioned not from gold and sorcery but from symbols.

With one hand, these symbols guide us to perceive them as the product of our own reason, yet with the other they supplant that reason with meanings determined in the minds of other men.

They bind our will not to the reason which first led us to our beliefs, but to the symbol with which we now identify them. Once the symbol becomes our point of attachment, we no longer have to be convinced to follow those who determine the meaning of the symbol to some new end. They need only tell us the new meaning of the symbol.

If we are not careful these rings will make wraiths of us all.

I, Nazgul (Epsilon Theory, November 2024)

The Ring of Social Justice, as you might call it, didn’t cause people to believe in the persistent existence of systemic sources of injustice embedded in our policing, legal, and justice systems. The fact that those things actually, really do exist did that. What the Ring did, as a symbol, was permit the evidence-free ascription of any social ill to these systemic sources. It permitted the a priori presumption that any claim of systemic causality was true. It permitted an entire political and social class to redefine racism from a personal act of discriminatory animus against another on the basis of an immutable property to any act of disagreement with any public policy proposal that would ‘dismantle’ a social institution deemed by the Ring to be such a source of systemic injustice.

It all seems academic to the people who made a career out of bloviating about this stuff for an associate professorship instead of doing something about the actual problem, but the consequences are anything but. A couple years back, I served on the jury of a murder trial in a small city with a murder, violent crime, and total crime rate that all rank in the top three in New England. It was one of the most open-and-shut cases that I can imagine was ever presented by a prosecutor in the state, and yet we deliberated for nearly a week, only escaping a hung jury after two pleas from the presiding judge to continue our deliberations. One of the jurors, despite being an otherwise lovely young woman who I think was earnestly trying to do the right thing, was effectively unwilling to consider any evidence or testimony presented as untainted by these systemic forces. Not just the testimony of law enforcement officers, but the testimony of corporate employees and technicians and the raw data retrieved from GPS systems, cell towers, mobile phones, cameras, and forensic investigators.

It will take years to draw the poison this Ring injected into the veins of our education system.

It will take even longer to draw it from our political system.

The Ring made it impossible for anyone left-of-center to survive within the Democratic Party if they proposed anything which seemed remotely amenable to sequestering convicted criminals from the general population as a legitimate policy aim. It demanded instead that they accept at face value that actually the more important thing is the systemic inequities at play here and we should really be looking at root causes that repeat offender laws actually exacerbate and haven’t you seen how our incarceration rates compare with Norway’s, etc. ad nauseam.

We talked about George Floyd for a long time. But we only had substantive discussions for a few days. We could have been talking substantively about police training budgets and timelines, increased emphasis on de-escalation, and mental/drug crisis management. Instead, after a day or two, the Ring started whispering about Defunding the Police and how its bearers should go full revolutionary LARPer by breaking the windows at the local Starbucks. And they did it.

Because that’s what the Ring of Social Justice demanded.

Republicans correctly hated this lawlessness every bit as much as they loved that it meant they didn’t really have to consider any of the real-world questions about how we could be doing policing better.

What’s about to happen is going to look a lot like that.

We need to have an ongoing conversation about recidivism. We need to have an ongoing conversation about creating clearer avenues to the commitment of dangerously mentally ill people, and yes, funding those efforts. We need to give lawmakers and leaders in cities and states that went wild in service to the Ring of Social Justice the political cover to fix the laws.

Instead, we’re going to get 2021-style LARPing from the White Nationalists and vindictive torture porn from the Christian Nationalists. We’re going to get Elon Musk-funded murals across the country born not out of grief for the actual human victim of a senseless crime but because of his concerns about the erasing of whiteness by cultural institutions – and because he gets culture war lulz from turning the BLM playbook against them. We’re going to get broader support for National Guard occupation of American cities to temporarily suppress crime for short-term political gain (despite overall crime rates that are much lower than most of modern American history) instead of doing the hard work of addressing a narrower but entirely solvable issue.

Because that’s what the Ring of True Justice will demand.

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And just like the Republicans who secretly delighted in the self-destructive LARPing of the left, the Democrats will breathe a sigh of relief that they won’t be held accountable for the insane policy theories scribbled on a napkin at a Columbia Sociology Department cocktail hour that are leading directly to the deaths of innocent people. Instead they will be able to rail against the racism, the fascism, the response to the event.

And they’ll have the full cover of the news media as they do it. You see, Republicans Pounce Mode has already been engaged.

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I’m not sure there is much to be done about any of this. In a socially networked, politically bi-modal world, there isn’t really a politics outside of symbolic attachments and associations. As individuals we can try not to become wraiths ourselves, but none of us possesses the craft to unmake these rings. I am hopeful, at least, that in a few cities and states there will be enough residual political will from the visceral response to lead to some change. Maybe the rage so many of us felt when we came across the video can be harnessed into a real response before it gets used for something else.

But if you find yourself a few months from now wondering how the political energy generated by such a horrific event seemed like it was largely diverted into other tangentially related aims of political actors, well, at least you’ll know.

Comments

chipperoo's avatar
chipperoo3 months ago

“Liking” because I agree with you, not because there is anything to actually “like” about this devastating event.


Desperate_Yuppie's avatar
Desperate_Yuppie3 months ago

States are laboratories of democracy, so they say. It’s time for a few of them to run an experiment.

Prosecutors and judges have absolute immunity from the consequences of their actions (or inactions). A few state legislatures need to enact laws that revoke said immunity and instead define a new, more narrowly tailored version of it. The details don’t matter at this point, but you could imagine a scenario where if a prosecutor refuses to actually prosecute an offender who has X number of priors and they go on to offend again, the victim(s) and/or their family can seek a civil judgment against the prosecutor in their capacity as a citizen. Inaction currently has a cost of $0. Change that to something other than $0 and see if behavior changes. A similar rule can be applied to judges. Again, details don’t matter at this stage since this is all more philosophical than mechanical.

“But won’t that mean they just put more people in jail to cover their own asses?”

Yes. That is the point. It is a feature of this idea, not a bug. When no cost is imposed on anyone but the victims of crime the crime will continue.


rguinn's avatar
rguinn3 months ago

I know you’re just entertaining a hypothetical, but I have to guess that the number of non-prosecutions that are the result of the office saying, “God I think this dude is guilty as hell but with the paltry evidence we’ve collected I think we’re spinning our wheels for 6 months with zero chance of a conviction” is probably 1,000x, maybe 10,000x the number not prosecuted because they figured he wasn’t a bad guy who got dealt a rough hand.

Probably has more teeth for a judge, but even so, what do we need the experiment for? We’ve been running a nationwide experiment in the open on whether people who committed violent crimes are more likely to do so again, and the data are not inconclusive. And if what we’re testing is whether lawmakers, judges, and prosecutors would behave differently if they had skin in the game, we can probably just look up where they choose to live themselves.


Desperate_Yuppie's avatar
Desperate_Yuppie3 months ago

I’m not so sure I agree with this. I think you’re underestimating the role of the activist class that spent years priming the public to accept softer and softer DAs/prosecutors until finally they all reached that Chesa Boudin level of disconnection from reality. There seem to be plenty of prosecutors who are genuine true believers. I don’t think that was the case 20 years ago.

That’s what I’m getting at here. These folks are decidedly not living in the path of the hurricane, so for now the only real consequence they may face is at the ballot box. In a lot of places that threat isn’t even worth worrying about because they’ve got a lock on enough of the electorate that they’re impervious to most bad news cycles.

We’re talking about symbolism a lot in this Note. I think one state legislature passing one law that leads to one prosecutor facing a civil case is enough of a symbol to change behavior for a generation in that state. Maybe I’m wrong about that! Wouldn’t be the first time. But something has to give here. When the state abdicates its monopoly on violence the thing that goes away is the monopoly, not the violence. Someone else will pick up that mantle and I do no wish to see what form that takes.


Desperate_Yuppie's avatar
Desperate_Yuppie3 months ago

Based on what just happened today I’d say those two days are up. May God have mercy on this nation stricken with a sickness that has overtaken us.


KCP's avatar
KCP3 months ago

Simple dignity and respect for others…we collectively have a lot less of that here in the USA than we should have.

It appears to me as a plebian in Vermont that more lethal violence, more lethal violence from youths and more repeat offenders of violent crimes that get a 2nd, 3rd, 4th…chance and they submit to further violent crimes (perhaps lethal).

I’m not sure where one starts to solve this mess, but one place is simple -consequence. Clear and swift consequence. I’m not sure our consequences are clear and our legal system is certainly not swift.

My hunch is that everyone has sympathy for someone who made a bad mistake, but to account for all the things that didn’t go right in someone’ life to justify limited consequence and/or exoneration (rehabilitation/monitor program) sounds virtuous. It is. And it doesn’t work (IMO).

In my state one of the cities mayors pleaded for State assistance to deal with it’s homeless, crime, drug use, murder rate…The Governor told them to pound sand. Paraphrasing the Gov “You made this mess by defunding police and liberalizing your drug laws and ask for help? With no plan? Get a plan, start cleaning up your mess - then approach me.”

I think that’s the right response.

Sad days and i think it will get worse before it becomes better.

Our leaders really need to start reflecting on why this stuff happens here more broadly than in other developed countries…there is no one root to this sick tree - there are roots.


robmann's avatar
robmann3 months ago

Yep, there’s a reason gov. Scott keeps getting reelected with large margins.


Kaiser147's avatar
Kaiser1473 months ago

Before we get stronger on crimes of small scale, can’t we go after career criminals who cost the government billions? Incarceration costs a lot.

Right now we have for-profit private prisons, what about “for profit” prisons. One benefits society through incarcerating people who cost the public money, the other costs the public money through incarceration and benefits the private prisons.

The danger of society such as this is people like Donald will weaponise it against his political opponents possibly. But there isn’t much difference to now, but the focus would be on financial crimes.

I mean realistically America having already one of the largest prison population in the world has not made in safer than other places. Either the problem is that the people are naturally evil or there is systemic problems underlying the society.


Desperate_Yuppie's avatar
Desperate_Yuppie3 months ago

There is no crime of larger scale than the murder of random civilians.

Fearing the backlash more than the inciting incident is the definition of losing the plot.

Turns out it’s not large enough.


rguinn's avatar
rguinn3 months ago

Amen and amen. It’s too much.

Continue the discussion at the Epsilon Theory Forum...

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