Epsilon Theory Logo

Say Uncle!

Rusty Guinn

November 21, 2018·2 comments·In Brief

The Fed is raising rates. Politicians are complaining. Financial commentators are piling on. But something shifted in how the story gets told. The conversation about Fed policy didn't change because new facts emerged. It changed because the way those facts get connected to market outcomes suddenly became coordinated across newsrooms. What happens when the narrative apparatus becomes this visible?

• A measurable spike appeared in financial coverage linking Fed policy to stock market performance. Starting in late 2018, news stories about the Federal Reserve increasingly mentioned market movements in the same piece. This wasn't isolated to one outlet or one type of coverage.

• The coordination happened without explicit coordination. Political figures criticized rate increases. Media outlets independently amplified those critiques. But when you measure the actual language patterns and story connections, it reads like a campaign.

• Financial media has been more transparent about this messaging than it has in years. The correlation between Fed stories and market references jumped visibly. Researchers tracking narrative patterns found this shift across news, opinion, analysis and research pieces simultaneously.

• The mechanism isn't a smoking gun memo or a conspiracy. Instead it's the invisible architecture of how financial stories get framed. When enough outlets start connecting the same dots the same way, individual readers can't distinguish between reporting and messaging.

• This raises a question about what narratives are built on and who's building them. If coverage can shift this dramatically without new information, what else might be engineered this way? And how do you trust what you're reading when the apparatus becomes this visible?

Subscribe Today to Read More

Unlock instant access to this and hundreds of other evergreen essays that explore the world of narrative through hard science and human wisdom.

  • Make more informed decisions as an investor and citizen.
  • See through the nudges of Big Politics and Big Media.
  • Become a better consumer of news.
  • Maintain your autonomy of mind in a swarm of narratives.
  • Join a community of more than 100,000 truth-seekers.

Looking for Deeper Insights?

Unlock exclusive market intelligence, trade ideas, and member-only events tailored for investment professionals and active investors with Perscient Pro.

VISIT PRO
Spiral
In Brief

Comments

jason-olson's avatar
jason-olsonabout 7 years ago

That picture from A Christmas Story should be false advertising.

Happy Thanksgiving, Rusty!


rguinn's avatar
rguinnabout 7 years ago

Hah! Maybe so - thanks, Jason. Happy Thanksgiving to you, too.

Continue the discussion at the Epsilon Theory Forum...

rguinn's avatarjason-olson's avatar
2 replies

DISCLOSURES

This commentary is being provided to you as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. The opinions expressed in these materials represent the personal views of the author(s). It is not investment research or a research recommendation, as it does not constitute substantive research or analysis. Any action that you take as a result of information contained in this document is ultimately your responsibility. Epsilon Theory will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information. Consult your investment advisor before making any investment decisions. It must be noted, that no one can accurately predict the future of the market with certainty or guarantee future investment performance. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

Statements in this communication are forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements and other views expressed herein are as of the date of this publication. Actual future results or occurrences may differ significantly from those anticipated in any forward-looking statements, and there is no guarantee that any predictions will come to pass. The views expressed herein are subject to change at any time, due to numerous market and other factors. Epsilon Theory disclaims any obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or views expressed herein. This information is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities. This commentary has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. Epsilon Theory recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial advisor. The appropriateness of a particular investment or strategy will depend on an investor's individual circumstances and objectives.