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Paradise Losers

Rusty Guinn

June 14, 2025·52 comments·In Brief

People have legitimate concerns about rapid demographic change, strain on public services, and how communities absorb large-scale migration. These are reasonable positions grounded in real observation. But there's a crucial distinction between discussing policy and deploying ancient psychological narratives that transform those concerns into something else. That transformation is happening, and it's worth understanding how.

•        Reasonable Policy Positions Are Being Integrated Into Older Story Patterns. Concerns about enforcement and borders are being merged with symbolic imagery and language that reaches people at a different level than rational argument. The merger appears seamless because it's deliberately constructed that way.

•        The Stories Being Told Follow Archetypal Patterns. Certain narratives have survived for thousands of years because humans absorb them easily and spread them quickly. Understanding why these patterns work reveals something about how they're being used now.

•        The Conversation Shifted in Subtle Ways. What people talk about changed. The underlying facts didn't change. What shifted instead was the frame. Recognizing that shift is the first step to understanding what's happening.

•        The People Deploying These Narratives Understand Their Power. This isn't accidental or naive. The mechanics are deliberate. That knowledge matters for recognizing when you're being influenced and how to think about it.

•        There's a Way to Engage With Policy While Resisting the Narrative. You can hold positions on immigration and enforcement without endorsing the symbolic language being attached to those positions. Figuring out where that line is crucial.

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In Brief

Comments

Desperate_Yuppie's avatar
Desperate_Yuppie8 months ago

The most common response I’ve seen among what I’ll call the normal people I know, both in the real, actual world and on Twitter, is some form of “I spent X number of years being fairly dovish, then merely tolerant, and now I’m at the point that I just want everyone gone.”

Trump broke us in a very specific way in 2016. Biden broke us in another way starting around summer of 2021. Everything is now simply a reaction to a prior policy that itself was a reaction to some other prior policy. There remains a staggering degree of continuity within this doom loop, and maybe even some pretty irrefutable logic, but it’s no way to run a railroad.

Now here’s the part that neither MAGA nor Bluesky, want to admit: ICE didn’t actually grab that many people in LA, and the majority of the ones they did round up would have been targets under Presidents Romney, Obama, DeSantis, or Fetterman. Most of them were serious criminals [side note here, but holy shit are there a TON of sexual predators out there]. But Trump’s flair for theatrics meant that the enforcement of some pretty basic rules couldn’t have been done without masked dudes in black Tahoes kicking in doors while maybe having a casual attitude about warrants. The bad optics were the point. He knew it would outrage people. He knew cars would be set on fire. He knew that his base would be absolutely tumescent at the sight of Mexican flags waving in front of a burning Waymo. The only thing missing from this plan was a sign for free birdseed, and it still somehow worked. Everyone got what they wanted out of that news cycle, and we all lost just a little bit more of ourselves in the process.


chipperoo's avatar
chipperoo8 months ago

" … free birdseed …" I see what you did there, appreciate the laugh.

On a more somber note, yeah, it seems like we continue to lose, and it seems that it is not enough to not take the bait. (I’ve got friends who email pro-DOGE stuff as well as friends who attend “No Kings” events. Right now, I’m hoping that a “that’s nice!” and not disagreeing is still good enough, as they are all good friends otherwise.)


christine.connell's avatar
christine.connell8 months ago

010101's avatar
0101018 months ago

There are times when the instrument of action is more prevalent in society than the ideals of intellectualism. Bentham vs Church of Englandism. (Utility vs the established doctrines).
It is then that the choices must come.
The rough beast that arrived was Liberalism, as the church became a department of state, not God.


Kaiser147's avatar
Kaiser1478 months ago

I think one thing missing in your analysis is that there are people reacting to the optics as a threat upon their lives. It doesn’t quite matter to the ones living under the threat of illegal deportation that they “only go after the bad ones- usually”.

Now, this is usually where communication breaks down between us- I know this is not what you are exactly saying but it’s an inferred line of thought that I extracted from it, you can choose to refute it or expand upon this, but I’m exposing the fracture lines in your thoughts as I see them.

It’s not enough just to say things without being aware of the consequences of what you are saying and how others intrepret them. In this I have personal stake and I dislike the framing as this thing in LA where people are getting shot in the ass as being only a shift in optics rather than a shift in escalation. I see this as downplaying the events transpiring personally and a false equivocation of “both sides bad”. One sides are really bad for women, immigrants and gay people in a way that doesn’t effect white males. in truth, they lose a lot too, it’s just harder to perceive the losses they suffer when they aren’t the ones getting stomped.

So in this, I think you are downplaying the bad optics as of low material consequence when they are as you say normalises social dehiscence so that people are more divided than ever. If only as a primer for worse to come as they utilise those burning cars and mexican flags as symbols to increase polarity.

So it’s not just Trump is like every other president, he’s quite a bit worse, he destroyed the idea of legitimacy for everyone. Even the republican base don’t argue what he does is justified, they just usually argue he doesn’t need em’. This is a shift in moral ethical boundaries that aren’t normal personally.


Desperate_Yuppie's avatar
Desperate_Yuppie8 months ago

On the contrary, the bad optics are the whole point. The administration wants very much for other illegal immigrants—the ones who are not otherwise law breakers and who generally do not disturb the peace—to be afraid. So afraid in fact that they self deport. This has been an explicit goal from day one.

That idea was a fiction, which is how you end up with Trump in the first place and even more so how he makes a comeback. When a great number of people tell you that institutions are only legitimate if they’re running them the audience will eventually stop trying to argue against that and instead figure out how to take over said institutions.


Cactus_Ed's avatar
Cactus_Ed8 months ago

Solid points, Ben - cue the evergreen Eagles tune for our playlist Packsters, that and so much more comes to mind…

“Anecdotally, among good people (we) love dearly,” we count among our friends one who absolutely idolizes David Tran and his hot sauce immigrant story. If you spend enough time around him you may hear about his admiration for the Rooftop Koreans. I’ll leave the reader to estimate his political bent.

But as you spend more time listening you’ll probably piece together the (imo) tragically severed real-space family relationships that are absolutely fragged as a result of what (again, in my opinion) amounts to an addiction to a narrative, a story of a paradise either lost or never to be realized.

Yet on the opposite end of the bell curve we have acquaintances whose addiction to narrative runs so deeply that this is not good enough.

At bottom, I’ve come to believe that their strongly clutched beliefs are a.) completely ineffective w/r/t their goals on the wider social level, and b.) demonstrably destructive to relationships they should probably enjoy otherwise. I guess I’m stuck with this:

:frowning_face:


Kaiser147's avatar
Kaiser1478 months ago

You keep saying this as if the legal ones feel safer?

I’d say false equivocancy is how we got here more so, just because one thing is bad doesn’t make it enlightened to say they are both bad equally. At this point everyone is disillusioned sure, but lying about this escalation in events doesn’t make sense to me.


Desperate_Yuppie's avatar
Desperate_Yuppie8 months ago

Given that this is a Stephen Miller policy I would guess that the above situation is a feature rather than a bug. He’s like a cartoon villain at this point.

Who’s lying about the escalation of events? Things happened, people observed those things, and then acted accordingly. I don’t think any of this is unique to our times. It only feels special because we’re living through it.


Kaiser147's avatar
Kaiser1478 months ago

Not sure but the framing matters to me. Every time due process is ignored to target immigrants is entrenching the belief that immigrants don’t deserve them. Innocent before proven guilty and all that. So when you say that these policies only hurt or target the illegal ones is just a false frame. It targets immigrants and sometimes they catch the bad ones. That’s the aim here because optics is the point, not the policy.

A very strange stance taken from someone who spends their time saying that they read behind the headlines. If you can find me a time in Biden’s administration where unmarked, unidentified, sometimes unofficial, balakalava goons kidnapped people who overstayed their visas in Biden’s time I’d believe this false frame. But we both know that isn’t possible.

If you think is normal, go find evidence that normalises these actions in the past 3 non Trump administration. You are flattening the frame, prove it then- is my only request.

Continue the discussion at the Epsilon Theory Forum...

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