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An Ocean of Indifference

Rusty Guinn

October 29, 2018·2 comments·In Brief

A massive industrial company with dozens of operating businesses and product lines has become virtually invisible to financial media. Not because it's failing across the board, but because investors have become so conditioned to a single, narrow turnaround narrative that everything else has simply disappeared from conversation. The question isn't whether this company is broken. It's whether the market's indifference itself has become the most important thing about it.

  • A company with vast operations generates almost no diverse discussion. While specialized consultants and industry analysts follow GE's aviation, healthcare, renewables, and energy divisions closely, financial media has collapsed all of this into one story: the turnaround. Everything else exists outside the frame.
  • The narrative isn't negative. It's singular. Investors aren't actively pessimistic about most of GE's businesses. They've simply stopped seeing them. The absence of strong sentiment isn't the same as the absence of attention, yet it produces a similar effect on price.
  • Conditioning replaces analysis. After years of turnaround language and CEO change stories, market participants have been trained to interpret everything through this lens. Even when potential positive catalysts emerge in other divisions, they pass largely unnoticed.
  • What happens when nobody's paying attention anymore? A stock without an engaged audience behaves differently than one constantly scrutinized. Complacency and indifference create their own market dynamics that traditional price analysis alone cannot capture.
  • If an ocean of indifference is actually masking opportunity, how would you recognize it? Understanding where the market has stopped looking might matter more than understanding where it's looking intently.

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Comments

mtc9150's avatar
mtc9150over 7 years ago

Rusty-----The fact that a day later there is no discussion shows that you picked the perfect title for your essay.
In any case, I found it very useful.


rguinn's avatar
rguinnover 7 years ago

Glad to hear that, Mark. I gotta admit, it was pretty fascinating to watch the stock drift around in pre-market, open and drift a little higher and then - once the Missionaries decided what the divination of the announcement was - continue its spiral.

A stock without an audience.

Continue the discussion at the Epsilon Theory Forum...

rguinn's avatarmtc9150's avatar
2 replies

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