Horsepower
August 3, 2017·0 comments
Despite the easiest credit environment in history and technological marvels, companies stopped building and investing. Instead, they're gaming earnings numbers through financial engineering while real productivity flatlines. The result is a stable political system built on comfortable illusions that have no incentive to demand change.
• The leverage trap changed corporate behavior. With capital so cheap, management can beat earnings guidance through share buybacks and acquiring revenue rather than taking the actual risk of building new productive capacity. The denominator shrinks instead of the numerator growing.
• Job creation moved backward in time. High-value sectors like IT and finance shed workers since 2007, while leisure and hospitality exploded. We're adding swineherds instead of tractors, low-productivity employment instead of high-leverage tools.
• We've rebranded stagnation as lifestyle. On-demand services and "being your own boss" make unproductive activity feel like choice and freedom. The experience of work replaced the output of work.
• This equilibrium is politically intentional. A divided, distracted populace debating cultural grievances while the infrastructure crumbles removes pressure for hard choices that governments can't afford to make.
• The system survives because nobody's making demands. Public transit fails but Uber exists. Schools struggle but tutoring apps flourish. As long as experience feels sufficient, there's no pressure to demand Repair and Making.
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