Finest Worksong
September 15, 2014·0 comments·europe
Central banks have pushed trillions into the system and commanded capital to take unprecedented risks. Asset prices have soared. Yet the economic engine they were supposed to restart remains stalled. Something about this theory works brilliantly in markets. Something about it fails completely in the real economy.
• The central bank strategy was supposed to be temporary. Emergency intervention would buy time for private investment to restart and take over. Instead, what was meant to be temporary has become permanent, and growth never materialized despite repeated escalations.
• Growth isn't actually what modern Western politics demands. Elections now turn on identity and cultural values, not economic policy. Candidates talk about jobs and taxes as symbolic totems, not actual proposals. This means voters don't punish governments for failing to deliver growth.
• Europe reveals what happens when the math breaks. Germany thrives under the current system while Italy's per capita income has collapsed. Germany has no incentive to change. Italy could leave and devalue its currency to spark growth, but stays locked in through cheap borrowing and political inertia.
• The people running the system know it's not working. Central bankers are openly calling out structural problems in specific countries. They acknowledge they're pushing on a string. Yet the response is always more of the same policy dressed up differently, never the fundamental political change the situation requires.
• Real growth demands something central banks cannot deliver. It requires voters to demand macroeconomic reform through electoral pressure. Until elections are fought over growth policy rather than identity, no amount of monetary stimulus will break the stagnation cycle. The missing ingredient isn't money. It's politics.
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