The Zeitgeist | 1.17.2019

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Mike S
2 years ago

Great Idea!

Bottom line:  When discussion of monetary policy is at its highest pitch, there is often less cause for concern than when almost no one it talking about it.  When the big players miss there marks…its the Fed’s Fault when they do hit there marks…no mention of the Fed!

Yes, he will keep hiking but will probably wait until the second half of 2019! Volcker tackled the “Great Inflation” and Powell is tackling the “Asset-Economy.” The sky is not falling folks! Know thyself First! Ben has stated several times he is by nature a “Contrarian-Bear,” so that is his starting point of realizing his emotional state…how bout you? Don’t become a Zombie…know the difference between recession and slowdown…either way, it does look like a cyclical down trend. But what you see can be deceiving…Bogle new this! What a smart guy! To a better place…

“Since the liquidity trap is gone, and inflation remains well under control, the liquidity trap does not seem to be the reason why inflation did not explode post-2008, following the Fed’s stabilization measures.
No one is admitting this simple reality, which is staring us in the face.”
—Tyler Cohen, Aug18

Landvermesser
2 years ago

I notice the narrative around Facebook seems to have swung very hard negative recently. Like the story yesterday about 10-year old profile pictures and whether they’re used to train creepy AI age extrapolation algorithms. I wonder if any if these just missed the cut?

Mike S
2 years ago
Reply to  Landvermesser

AI doesn’t require the ability to learn. In the most extreme case, all intelligent behavior in the machine could be directly hard-coded into it by a programmer. The machine can still conform to the definition of AI as long as the preset algorithm allows it to achieve its objective. Many current-day AI systems are actually of this rule-based systems type, where engineers supply all the intelligence to the system….it has a long way to go! But it makes a great buzzword!

The Daily Zeitgeist

“Suicide Bomber” vs suicide bomber

By Ben Hunt | December 29, 2020 | 19 Comments

On Christmas Day, Nashville was attacked by a suicide bomber terrorist. But not by a “Suicide Bomber”. Not by a “Terrorist”.

Why not? Because his terrorist goals didn’t fit neatly into a useful political narrative like “Antifa!” or “Proud Boys!”

Here’s what this looks like in the Narrative Machine.

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By Rusty Guinn | December 3, 2020 | 4 Comments

Sometimes complicated is complicated because it has to be. But this nesting doll of a SPAC deal with Dyal (Neuberger Berman) IS weird and worthy of more than usual scrutiny, especially if you are an LP in one of these funds.

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By Ben Hunt | November 25, 2020 | 10 Comments

The Wall Street narrative machine is in overdrive to create a “Yay, Value!” rally here at year-end.

Like any effective advertising campaign, it will work. I’m not saying this rally isn’t real.

I’m saying that you should reconsider what “real” means.

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You Can’t Handle The Lie

By Rusty Guinn | November 6, 2020 | 35 Comments

Any news outlet that won’t let you see a lie does not work for you.

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We are all MMTers (Still)

By Rusty Guinn | October 22, 2020 | 10 Comments

Stimulus is dominating market news, and even with an election coming up is playing an outsized role in political news. So what is the current fiscal stimulus really about?

Maybe more importantly, what is it absolutely, definitely NOT about?

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How It Started. How It’s Going.

By Ben Hunt | October 20, 2020 | 10 Comments

Once Daryl Morey’s new idea became the common knowledge of the NBA – once everyone knows that everyone knows that the way to win NBA games is to maximize 3-point shots and lay-ups – then it became a permanent feature of the way professional basketball is played. It became an equilibrium.

It’s exactly the same with politics.

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