The Frustrated Money Manager

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Ex-cardinal and frustrated money manager Giovanni Angelo Becciu

Vatican used charity funds to bet on Hertz credit derivatives (FT)

Three years earlier [2015], part of a €528m Vatican portfolio “derived from donations” bought structured notes containing CDS as part of a bet that Hertz would not default on its debts by April 2020, the documents show. The company filed for bankruptcy the following month, giving the Holy See a narrow escape on the investment, which paid out in full.

Other investments made by managers for the Secretariat appointed by Cardinal Becciu include financing the 2019 film Rocketman — a biopic of the musician Elton John — according to fund documents seen by the FT.

The Secretariat also bought multiple luxury residential properties in London’s Knightsbridge, and securitisations partly comprising invoices owed by the Italian state to Vatican-controlled hospitals. 

The Secretariat’s investment in the London building known as 60 Sloane Avenue was made through a fund in Luxembourg in 2014 in a deal personally authorised by Cardinal Becciu. In June the Vatican’s state news service reported that Holy See prosecutors believe the investment caused “huge losses”.


It looks easy, doesn’t it? Managing a portfolio. Managing a football team.

We all think we could do it, which is why “frustrated money manager” is the core psycho-demographic that supports pretty much all financial media business models. Just like there’s a frustrated GM in all of us, which is why ESPN and sports talk radio exist.

The frustrated money manager is a very different animal than Davey Day Trader Portnoy, who – as best as I can tell – is a showman and impresario (compliments in my book) who uses trading and portfolio “management” to support his brand/media company and tout his direct investments (Penn National Gaming). Same with Jim Cramer.

No, the frustrated money manager is rarely public with his compulsion (or her compulsion, but honestly I think this is almost entirely a y-chromosome thing), unless he’s enjoyed a hot streak and starts bragging to his email buds. Which happens not infrequently in a bull market.

The frustrated money manager is almost always a smart, accomplished professional in his own field who believes VERY much in the existence of The Smart Money ™.

The frustrated money manager is almost always a liiiittttle bit on the make.

Like a Vatican cardinal.

It took me a long time to recognize the frustrated money manager within me, including when I WAS a money manager, and a non-frustrated one at that. And to be clear, I said “recognize”, not “eliminate” or something silly like that. No, we are ALL frustrated money managers. The only question is whether we let that dimension of our psychological makeup ruin our lives, like it did Cardinal Becciu and so many others.

Here’s the knowledge that helps me keep it under control in myself. You ready?

There is no Smart Money.

That’s the big secret. That’s the most important thing I have to say to my fellow DGs and frustrated money managers. Especially if you ARE a money manager. You can’t eliminate the DG and frustrated money manager in you, but you can control it. Internalize this little nugget and you won’t get taken for a ride to the point where you ruin your life. Please.


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Rafa Mayer
Rafa Mayer
13 days ago

Wat? I thought you were The Smart Money ™

Mr. Dalliard! Mr. Dalliard Ben has gone strange on us again! Call Harper! Alert the Hunts!

https://youtu.be/HBURlcNpfoo

Rafa Mayer
Rafa Mayer
13 days ago
Reply to  Rafa Mayer

All I’m trying to say is the world needs more of Fry and Laurie.

Mike
Mike
13 days ago

Thank you for this Ben, sounds like something Nero Tulip has learned as well

Simons Chase
Simons Chase
13 days ago

Ben, don’t you think you should at least hear about my gamma neutral, positive convexity, split-strike conversion strategy before you paint me with Papal brush!

jb00212000
jb00212000
12 days ago

It may be helpful to the fish to know that he lives in water. But that knowledge is insufficient to allow the fish to escape the water.

You seem to think that seeing the situation clearly (clear eyes) is sufficient to generate a response (full hearts) and victory (can’t lose). But the fish can know he’s in the water and still be unable to escape it.

Just look at your work on media networks and linguistic connections. You are trying to be the smart money, even though you know that there is no smart money. You are a fish who cannot escape the water, despite knowing he’s in it!

It’s not about the water (neoliberalism, alienation, leverage, scale, the nudging state and oligarchy, the smart money, and all the rest).

It is about the fish. And no amount of knowledge about the water changes the fish.

Hey. Go big or go home.

Rafa Mayer
Rafa Mayer
12 days ago
Reply to  jb00212000

There is a difference between trying to be The Smart Money and being smart with your money.

Can’t lose does not equal victory. It’s not about the outcomes. It’s about the process.

jb00212000
jb00212000
12 days ago
Reply to  Rafa Mayer

The process of what? Gaining knowledge of the water?

Gaining knowledge of the water won’t change the fish. Only knowledge about the fish changes the fish.

Last edited 12 days ago by jb00212000
cartoox
cartoox
12 days ago
Reply to  jb00212000

Knowledge of the water enables the fish to be more aware of its choices….i suppose.
I have friends who are quite aware of the water we swim in, but have well paying jobs and nice houses/apartments with kids in fancy schools.
They choose to live in the water. The other choice – to leave the familiar feeling of the water would be gut wrenching……

Something I read a couple of years back- I believe it was by a Christopher Cole of Artemis….
For a fish it is very difficult to perceive a world beyond the water…if you want to change you have to crawl out of the ocean… find a way to breath … and evolve into a new reality.”

Couple of Churchill quotes that I am not sure if I read on ET or somewhere else :

Courage is rightly esteemed to be the first of human qualities because it is the quality which guarantees all others.”
“Courage is what it takes to stand up and speak; courage is also what it takes to sit down and listen.” – Winston Churchill

You’re right …..Knowledge of the water alone is not enough. A conscious choice to get out of the water and not play those games that are imposed on us is the next step. And that takes balls.

jb00212000
jb00212000
11 days ago
Reply to  cartoox

Thank you, cartoox… You’ve captured what I’m trying to say!

The issues are IN US, not “out there.”

First, what are the problems that cause the invention of things like neoliberalism, scale, leverage, the nudging state, etc?

Second, what sort of thinking, what epistemology (to use an archaic term for this), causes us to create and accept “solutions” like neoliberalism, scale, leverage, the nudging state, etc?

“Scale,” to take just one example, did not spring like Athena, fully formed, from the head of Zeus! “Scale” is a humanly-constructed solution to a problem (a “truth” construction). What’s the problem that “scale” is intended to solve? (To eliminate “scale” we have to solve whatever this problem is in a different way.)

And why are scale, leverage, neoliberalism and all the rest accepted as “true” (in the sense of being accepted solutions to problems)? Are we really saying that it is because someone has (doggone it!) fooled us into accepting these things? Really? We were fooled?

Or is it in the way that we think?

cartoox
cartoox
10 days ago
Reply to  jb00212000

“ The intuitive mind is a sacred gift, & the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift” – Albert Einstein

The rational mind deals in abstractions – logic and constructs, models, algorithms, design & analysis etc.
Ironically, our education teaches us that is being ‘realistic and grounded’.
 
The intuitive mind – my best guess is that we need to reconnect to what is real in the world. The physical and the emotional.  Then we can develop the trust [read : courage]  in ourselves necessary for the intuitive mind to guide us.

Ben has some rather detailed posts on the real vs the abstract here on ET.

The Daily Zeitgeist

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It’s exactly the same with politics.

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One day we will recognize the defining Zeitgeist of the post-GFC Obama/Trump years for what it is: an unparalleled transfer of wealth to the managerial class.

This Wall Street Journal article is not an attack on that system. It is a defense. It is telling you that the system is fine … we just need to do something about these bad apple CEOs.

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Yesterday, 5 GOP Senators wrote a letter to Netflix, saying that their plan to adapt Liu Cixin’s “The Three Body Problem” for TV/film amounted to “complicity” with the CCP and their horrific mistreatment of the Uyghurs.

Why am I reading this NOW?

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By Ben Hunt | September 19, 2020 | 7 Comments

My RBG story …

I thought she’d be all about women’s rights and legal theory this and legal theory that. I was SO wrong.

RBG’s death is an enormous loss for the UNITED States of America.

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By Ben Hunt | September 16, 2020 | 26 Comments

The go-to move by sophists like Vox and Trump is to claim that “many people” are asserting their made-up premise that justifies an otherwise ludicrous position.

Why do they do this? Because it works.

Why does it work? Because common knowledge game. Because of the power of the crowd watching the crowd.

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The Game of Tesla

By Ben Hunt | September 3, 2020 | 4 Comments

Recent price action in Tesla is the Common Knowledge Game in action.

It is the power of the crowd watching the crowd. It is the power of – not what you think is true, and not what you think the crowd thinks is true – but of what the crowd thinks the crowd thinks is true.

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