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  • ET Intro
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    • First the People
    • Things Fall Apart (Part 1)
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    • It Was Barzini All Along
    • When Does the Story Break?
    • The Narrative Machine
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    • What Do We Need To Be True?
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    • The MacGuffin, Part 1: The Corrupt Crypto ‘Revolution’
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Tag: ET Origins

Too Clever By Half

The inevitable result of financial innovation gone awry, which it ALWAYS does, is that it ALWAYS ends up empowering the State. When too clever by half…
Ben Hunt February 5, 2018
3 Comments

The Three-Body Problem

What if I told you that the dominant strategies for human investing are, without exception, algorithms and derivatives? I don't mean computer-driven i…
Ben Hunt December 21, 2017
4 Comments

Virtue Signaling, or … Why Clinton is in Trouble

Don’t get me wrong. I’m thoroughly despondent about the calcification, mendacity, and venal corruption that I think four years of Clinton™ will …
Ben Hunt September 29, 2016
1 Comment

Magical Thinking

The problem with magical thinking run amok and its perpetuation of a fantasy world is that sooner or later the dream of the delusional king becomes a …
Ben Hunt September 1, 2016
3 Comments

The Narrative Machine

"So, in the interests of survival, they trained themselves to be agreeing machines instead of thinking machines. All their minds had to do was to disc…
Ben Hunt August 17, 2016
0 Comments

Hobson’s Choice

I'd like an omelet, plain, and a chicken salad sandwich on wheat toast, no mayonnaise, no butter, no lettuce, and a cup of coffee. Now all you have to…
Ben Hunt March 16, 2016
0 Comments

When Does the Story Break?

Margaret Bourke-White took this photo of the Garment District in 1930. Every single person on the street is wearing a hat. How did THAT behavior chang…
Ben Hunt May 25, 2014
0 Comments

Adaptive Investing: What’s Your Market DNA?

In 1837 on page 36 of his so-called “B” notebook, Charles Darwin wrote the words “I think” followed by the first depiction of an evolutionary …
Ben Hunt January 5, 2014
1 Comment

It Was Barzini All Along

“Tattaglia is a pimp. He never could have outfought Santino. But I didn’t know until this day that it was Barzini all along.” - Don Vito Corleon…
Ben Hunt September 8, 2013
0 Comments

How Gold Lost Its Luster, How the All-Weather Fund Got Wet, and Other Just-So Stories

In some periods of history gold is money. In other periods of history gold is not. But gold is always something, and that something is defined by the …
Ben Hunt June 30, 2013
0 Comments

Through the Looking Glass, or … This is the Red Pill

The first ET note focused on Information Theory.
Ben Hunt June 16, 2013
1 Comment

Epsilon Theory Manifesto

Our times require an investment and risk management perspective that is fluent in econometrics but is equally grounded in game theory, history, and be…
Ben Hunt June 1, 2013
4 Comments
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