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The Zeitgeist

The World ‘Twixt Ought To and Is

August 18, 2019

Honest investing means finding a balance between approaches which imply we know everything and those which imply we can’t know anything. It means humility.

We think there are three – and only three – paths to finding this balance. One is the heart of what we are trying to achieve with Epsilon Theory.

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ET In Full

Even When I Lie

By Rusty Guinn | November 28, 2018 | 28

The way I see it, there are three reasons a person becomes a liar: he believes that he must, he believes that he may, or he believes it serves a Greater Truth.

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Things Fall Apart (Part 3) – Politics

By Ben Hunt | November 19, 2018 | 15

Take back your vote.
Take back your distance.
Take back your data.

How to make our way as citizens in a fallen world, with Clear Eyes and Full Hearts to make it better.

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Notes from the Diamond #4: Less Is More

By David Salem | November 10, 2018 | 2

Peer group comparisons are the primary measuring stick of both baseball GMs and investment PMs. Here’s how they are used and (more often) abused.

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Draft Day

By Rusty Guinn | November 7, 2018 | 9

We are wired to associate outcomes with the biggest single visible variance. This is a process-breaking flaw for general managers and portfolio managers alike.

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In the Trenches: A False Sense of Stability

By Peter Cecchini | November 2, 2018 | 0

In the first note from new Epsilon Theory contributor Peter Cecchini of Cantor Fitzgerald, Peter gives us a window into what a false sense of stability may mean for investors heading into the end of 2018.

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Notes from the Diamond #3: Everything Has Its Price

By David Salem | October 26, 2018 | 7

Allocators and investors can learn a lot from professional baseball about how to structure incentives and compensation for portfolio managers. And how NOT to do it.

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ET Live!

ET Live! – 7.30.2019

July 30, 2019

It’s the July 30th, 2019 ET Live! Today, we’re all MMT’ers, or at least that’s the narrative in political space. But what about markets?

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ET Live! – 7.9.2019

July 9, 2019

It’s the July 9th ET Live!, where we dive into all things Libra, Facebook and get an update on market narratives.

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ET Live! – 6.18.2019

June 18, 2019

Join us here at 2PM Eastern today for the latest edition of ET Live. Today’s edition is all about the grotesque charades and cartoons being used to cynically manipulate narratives. Not one to miss.

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ET Live! – 6.4.2019

June 4, 2019

Ben and Rusty update subscribers on the shift from cooperative to competitive games and our narrative research program, with a focus on the China Trade War and US electoral politics.

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