The Zeitgeist

The Church of the Long Now

By Ben Hunt | January 17, 2020

That Which We Call a Law School

By Rusty Guinn | January 16, 2020

Shot, Chaser

By Ben Hunt | January 13, 2020

Alpha/Beta Amnesiacs

By Rusty Guinn | January 10, 2020

An Experiment

By Rusty Guinn | January 6, 2020

Normalize This

By Ben Hunt | January 3, 2020

A Perfect Meme

By Rusty Guinn | December 31, 2019

An End to War!

By Rusty Guinn | December 17, 2019

It’s Not So Much …

By Ben Hunt | December 16, 2019

One Narrative Keeps on Trucking

By Rusty Guinn | December 9, 2019

Mailbag: By Our Own Petard

By Rusty Guinn | December 7, 2019

Presented Without Comment

By Ben Hunt | December 4, 2019

Hyakujos Fox

By Demonetized | December 3, 2019

Our Dumb World

By Rusty Guinn | December 2, 2019

A Cycle of Addiction

By Peter Cecchini | November 26, 2019

The Long Now, Pt. 4 – Snip!

The Long Now has severed the tether between taxation and spending – the most important macroeconomic policy relationship in our social lives as both investors and citizens.

Here’s what that means.

And here’s what we’re going to do about it.

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ET In Full

Life in the Gyre

By Rusty Guinn | July 2, 2019 | 12

I was mad, and I was going to write an article about what had made me mad.

Except I was wrong. And the truth about what is happening in media should be much more concerning. It is seductive in ways that will make it difficult to resist for anyone who hasn’t decided to pay attention to those who would tell us what the crowd thinks the crowd thinks.

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The Half-Happy Horror

By Rusty Guinn | June 21, 2019 | 2

The Half-Happy Horror is the realization that pursuit of multiple objectives can end up with a baby split in two.

At best we give lip service to secondary or tertiary goals, all as part of some cartoon we’ve constructed about our “process”.

Yes, optimization is a scourge, and it hits every aspect of modern life. It hits the professional investor hardest of all.

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In the Trenches: Cake

By Peter Cecchini | June 19, 2019 | 1

The recent rally in U.S. equities is largely a result of market participants believing they can have their rate-cut cake and eat it, too.

ET contributor Pete Cecchini doesn’t think the Fed will cut rates proactively. Will they cut? Sure. But only if the real-world economic data deteriorates further. Which it probably will.

But don’t eat that cake just yet.

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After All, We Are Not Communists

By Ben Hunt | June 18, 2019 | 4

It’s all been leading up to this.

We’re sharing the summary results of our core investment research project with the Narrative Machine.

If you’ve ever wondered, “Gosh, how DO you apply these cool narrative maps to an actual investment strategy?” … well, here’s your answer.

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A Song of Ice and Fire

By Ben Hunt | May 27, 2019 | 13

We are the human animal.

We are non-linear.

We ARE a song of ice and fire.

It’s a song that has built cathedrals and fed billions and taken us to the moon. It’s a song that can do all of that and more … far, far more … if only we remember the tune.

The Pack remembers.

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Wage Growth, Groucho Marx Edition

By Ben Hunt | May 7, 2019 | 3

Wage stagnation in 2016 was actually much worse than you were told. Did this make a difference in the Midwestern states that swung the election, in that actual labor conditions were worse than everyone thought they were? I think yes.

Wage growth in 2018 was actually much better than you were told. Did this make a difference in the current Fed/Wall Street/White House narrative that inflation is dead and the easy money punchbowl can be maintained without consequence? I think yes.

For a few days, we’re making this ET Professional note available to everyone to review. We think the ET Pro service is something that every portfolio allocation, wealth management and active investment team can find useful, particularly for risk management.

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ET Live!

ET Live! – 12.19.2019

December 19, 2019

Join us at 2PM ET on December 19th for the last 2019 edition of Epsilon Theory Live! for a lively – and live – discussion of the narrative intersection of politics and financial markets.

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ET Live! – 11.19.2019

November 19, 2019

It’s the November 19th, 2019 edition of Epsilon Theory Live! Be sure to join Ben and Rusty for a discussion of all things narrative in the world of politics and markets.

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ET Live! – 10.22.2019

October 22, 2019

In which Ben and Rusty discuss the three Ps of the narrative of a functioning government – and why their cartoons are being stretched to the limit.

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ET Live! – 8.27.2019

August 27, 2019

It’s the August 27th edition of Epsilon Theory Live! In which political, economic and markets nihilism are the order of the day.

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