#OurFinestHour

A New Gilded Age

By Rusty Guinn | May 24, 2020 | 12

A Gilded Age isn’t an age of prosperity. It is an age of the narrative of prosperity, and narratives of prosperity are always top-down political narratives.

There is but one way to tear down top-down political narratives: action.

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A Truth That’s Told With Bad Intent

By Ben Hunt | May 14, 2020 | 36

A truth that’s told with bad intent
Beats all the lies you can invent.
– William Blake

Our narratives of COVID-19 are all lies.

They are lies of a particular sort, political narratives that have a nugget of truth within them, but are told with bad intent. They are told this way because it works. Because the nugget of truth hides a deeper, unpleasant truth. And a Big Lie.

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Inception

By Ben Hunt | April 14, 2020 | 14

We’re going to change the world, you know … you and me.

It won’t happen the way you think, because you think that someone is going to lead you. You think that someone is going to organize you. You think that someone is going to give you a top-down, political Answer in the form of something to march for or somebody to vote for.

Nope. We’re going to create a million points of failure for the system of sociopathic oligarchy. We’re going to create points of failure AT SCALE.

How? With the Narrative Machine.

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ET In Full

Stuck in the Middle With You

By Ben Hunt | January 30, 2020 | 5

There is a median narrative theorem that can serve as a central pillar of a NEW approach to social choice theory, an approach less pedantic in its assumptions about human nature and less naive in its assumptions about modes of social power.

The median narrative theorem generates powerful predictive hypotheses about elections, hypotheses that predicted Trump’s Republican primary victory in 2016 and – if current data holds – predicts Sanders’ Democratic primary victory in 2020.

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The Curious Case of Candidate Sanders

By Rusty Guinn | January 29, 2020 | 5

Everyone complains that their favorite candidate isn’t being treated fairly in the media. It’s the Bernie Bros’ turn…but are they right?

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A New Road to Serfdom

By Rusty Guinn | January 24, 2020 | 27

There are many roads to serfdom, and they have all become faster and more perilous. We are walking down one of them now.

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The Long Now, Pt. 4 – Snip!

By Ben Hunt | December 26, 2019 | 17

The Long Now has severed the tether between taxation and spending – the most important macroeconomic policy relationship in our social lives as both investors and citizens.

Here’s what that means.

And here’s what we’re going to do about it.

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Epsilon Theory: A 2019 Retrospective

By Rusty Guinn | December 12, 2019 | 11

It is our second time now to turn the lens we apply to other news sources to our own creative output. Here is a Very Epsilon Theory retrospective on 2019.

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By Our Own Petard

By Rusty Guinn | November 20, 2019 | 11

Fiduciary standards, prudent man rules and client sensibilities compel us toward fervent pursuit of “alignment.” There’s just one little problem: we can never be aligned with our agents.

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ET Poll

Are States Reopening Too Fast?

Archive Spotlight

A Holy Day

May 27, 2019

If Memorial Day is anything, it is a day for telling and re-telling stories about Full Hearts. Let me tell and re-tell you the story of Milton Lee Olive III.

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ET Live!

ET Live! – 4.28.2020

April 28, 2020

Join us this afternoon for the Pandemic Edition of Epsilon Theory Live! As usual, we start promptly, so if you don’t have video within a short period after 2PM ET, please refresh your browser. We recommend Chrome for the best experience.

ET Live! – 3.10.2020

March 9, 2020

Covid-19 is a fertile ground for narratives and missionaries of all kinds – from politicians to central banks, corporate leaders and financial media pundits. Join us as we discuss them.

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