Our Dumb World


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When Ben and I have conversations about analyzing the structure of narratives, one of the things we talk about most is the distinction between narratives defined by topical similarity and those defined by similarity in affect or non-topical turns of phrase.

For example, sometimes it is useful to know that the language in coverage of another Lee Cooperman rant about “The Algos” is more or less similar to other clusters of financial markets commentary. But when we see the Cooperman Algos stories all clustered together by themselves, we can be pretty certain that it is a topical cluster, defined by words which describe a thing. In this case, that thing is Cooperman’s willingness to blame every 50bp drop in the S&P 500 on poor liquidity, dumb computers, volatility targeting, risk parity and other such bogeymen. It is simply our collective lot to puzzle out why big up days with practically no major earnings or macro news don’t yield similar frustration.

We may instead see clusters which aren’t so much defined by a topical similarity, but by the affect, quality, sentiment and distinctive traits of language being used, independent of whether they are being used to describe the same thing. Terms and phrases used to describe wealth inequality or social injustice, for example, find their way into very different topics and create dimensions of similarity that begin to shape all sorts of narratives.

We generally find the latter more interesting and informative, but even when clusters are topically driven, we can still measure their proximity to affect/non-topical language-driven clusters. If Facebook earnings coverage (topical) is more similar to affect-driven clusters of articles about billionaires, anti-trust legislation, politics and social justice, that may have meaning. To us, anyway.

Sometimes an article comes across the Zeitgeist which gives you a little bit of both: a clear linguistic relationship to a substantively significant and intuitive topic of the day, elevated in interconnectedness within the overall narrative structure by the affect and quality of its language.

That, dear reader, is how we end up with this at the top of the Zeitgeist:

Amazon Removes Auschwitz Christmas Ornaments, Bottle Openers After Outrage [Huffington Post]

Valentine's Day key chains featuring a photo of a train car that deported Jews for extermination remained for sale on Su


Horrifying for obvious reasons. But also horrifying that being topically related to Black Friday / Cyber Monday topics and non-topically related by merits of the affect of language used in discussion of the horrors of Auschwitz makes something the most similar to all other financial news published over the weekend and today.

December can only get better from here, right?


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6 months ago

What’s so unusual about this? read the comments to any post on ZH. within the first 20 I guarantee that all the evils in the world are the fault of Jews/Israel, Mossad/Rothschilds/Soros (Rudy: “I’m more Jewish than Soros!”),

Billions in Arab money poured endlessly in anti Israel, anti Jew propaganda. “Students for Justice in Palestine.” An oxymoron. Idiots believing that Israel is apartheid, look at Saudi Arabia, or any of a dozen other countries where Kaffirs are not allowed or where the live in Dhimmi status. The Holocaust never happened is a Yuuuuge industry. 20 million white Christian Russians died so why are a few million Jews so special? I could go on, but even adopting Full Heart/Clear Eyes, I think we can lose. Hertzl even proposed mass conversion to Catholicism before coning up Der Hudenstat. Wouldn’t have saved anybody as the Germans went back 4 or 5 generations. Same as it ever was.

The Daily Zeitgeist

The Lystrosaurus

By Rusty Guinn | June 17, 2020 | 12 Comments

There is practically no information in knowing that everybody is talking about something. There is some information in knowing that everybody is using the same language to talk about something.

But there is a lot of value in knowing that people and publications with no underlying connection are simultaneously inspired to use the same language to talk about different angles of the same issue.

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No Country for Old Men

By Ben Hunt | June 12, 2020 | 12 Comments

We all know someone who is in urgent-but-not-emergency need of some medical procedure that can’t be scheduled while Covid-19 is storming the hospital ramparts.

I’m one of them.

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Misfortune vs. Carelessness

By Ben Hunt | June 9, 2020 | 6 Comments

What’s happening with the Bureau of Labor Statistics with recent employment data reports is an intentional, political carelessness that supports status quo cartoons of control.

It’s not a Democrat thing and it’s not a Republican thing.

It’s a power thing.

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The Miracle Max of MBS

By Rusty Guinn | March 30, 2020 | 7 Comments

Sometimes investors and corporate executives will beg for a miracle to bring mostly dead assets back to life. That’s OK. But we don’t have to give it to them. And we don’t have to treat their requests as news in themselves.

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The Python and the Pig

By Ben Hunt | March 13, 2020 | 2 Comments

The NYC healthcare system – one of the finest in the world – is about to be slammed beyond anything they have ever seen. ER visits and patient testing is where it begins. It moves from there through the system, ending in ICU wards. The process is like a python swallowing a pig, except this isn’t a pig. It’s a whale.

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By Ben Hunt | March 12, 2020 | 15 Comments

For the first time our federal government is treating the fight against this virus like the war that it is.

Is it pathetic and sad and a corrupt betrayal of the public trust that it took this long? Absolutely.

But now here we go. And there is no country in the world that mobilizes for war more effectively than the United States.

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