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Oliver Bird

And They Did Live by Watchfires: Things that Don’t Matter #4

By Rusty Guinn | May 19, 2017 | 0 Comments

For the bored (read: profitable) investor, the bias to action is a constant threat. As we become more passive in our strategies, the moral license to ‘do something’ is exaggerated, and must be curtailed.

Mo’ Compute Mo’ Problems (by Silly Rabbit)

By Ben Hunt | May 16, 2017 | 0 Comments

On hard problems, lazy XKCD references, the myth of superhuman AI, and valley grammar.


By Ben Hunt | May 11, 2017 | 0 Comments

If political parties in Western democracies were stocks, we’d be talking today about the structural bear market that has gripped that sector. Show me any country that’s had an election in the past 24 months, and I’ll show you at least one formerly big-time status quo political party that has been crushed.

1999 v2.0

By Ben Hunt | May 11, 2017 | Comments Off on 1999 v2.0

On episode 21 of the Epsilon Theory podcast, Dr. Ben Hunt is joined by Brad McMillan, CFA, CAIA, the chief investment officer at Commonwealth Financial Network®. Brad graciously hosts us at Commonwealth’s headquarters in Waltham, Massachusetts. Ben and Brad talk about their mutual love for Terry Pratchett, Narrative causality, the French elections, and how technology is changing the financial advisory business.

Future Flash Crashes, Digital Darwinism & the Resurgence of Hardware (by Silly Rabbit)

By Ben Hunt | May 4, 2017 | 0 Comments

My view is that we are heading into a far more ‘interesting’ era of flash crashes of confused, or deliberately misled, algorithms.

Alibaba’s AI, JP Morgan’s Risky Language & the Nurture of Reality (by Silly Rabbit)

By Ben Hunt | April 26, 2017 | 0 Comments

Starcraft mastery from AI, risky language, and the map of physics. Also Zen vs. Tantra, because why not?

Daenerys and Tyrion

Break the Wheel: Things that Don’t Matter #3

By Rusty Guinn | April 24, 2017 | 0 Comments

Almost as much as we love stock discussions, we love talking about our favorite fund managers. These discussions are unfortunately almost always a complete waste of time.

AI Hedge Funds, Corporate Inequality & Microdosing LSD (by Silly Rabbit)

By Ben Hunt | April 18, 2017 | 0 Comments

On DARPA explainer videos, Burning Man invocations, and the impact of bad weather and high taxes on AI talent pools.

Change is in the Air

By Ben Hunt | April 17, 2017 | Comments Off on Change is in the Air

By the time we got to episode 20 of the Epsilon Theory podcast, change was bound to happen. Coming to you from our New York office, Dr. Ben Hunt and producer Michael Corrao talk about changes to the Epsilon Theory website, Ben’s role, and the entire political system.

The Horse in Motion

By Ben Hunt | April 3, 2017 | 0 Comments

Many of the gaps in our knowledge are the result of our insistence on accepting our priors and using technology to answer questions we see as new. But what if we could develop techniques to challenge those priors with new questions?