Epsilon Theory In Full

Epsilon Theory In Full

 

The soul of Epsilon Theory is our long-form content, a library of hundreds of pieces written by Ben, Rusty and others over the course of the last 5+ years. These are the print-and-take-home-for the weekend notes that made Epsilon Theory what it is today.

The Red King Is Us

By Ben Hunt | October 8, 2018 | 0 Comments

A cat may look on a king, ye know! — Proverbs and Epigrams of John Heywood (1562) Ben’s note: I wrote The Red King in…

Why Am I Reading This NOW?

By Ben Hunt | October 7, 2018 | 10 Comments

On October 4, 2018, Bloomberg BusinessWeek published a story claiming that Chinese hackers were able to “infiltrate America’s top companies” by planting a spy microchip…

Surprisingly Geometric

By Rusty Guinn | October 7, 2018 | 0 Comments

Whenever something is surprisingly geometric, it’s probably a good idea to take a step back and ask why. And even when we find some supporting truths, it’s a good idea to keep asking.

The Power of ‘AND’, and the Walmartization of Advice

By Rusty Guinn | October 6, 2018 | 5 Comments

Behold, the Walmartization of Advice. It will lead to better outcomes for many investors. AND it will lead to worse outcomes for some.

We are Second Foundation Partners

By Ben Hunt | October 2, 2018 | Comments Off on We are Second Foundation Partners

Epsilon Theory began in the spring of 2013 as a series of emails I wrote to myself and a few colleagues, trying to make sense…

Clear Eyes, Full Hearts, Can’t Lose

By Ben Hunt | October 2, 2018 | 19 Comments

What to DO when Things Fall Apart. How to make your way in a fallen world, where the electorate is polarized, the market is monolithic, and everyone seems to have lost their damn minds.

It’s not an Answer. It’s a Process.

From Thugs to Douche Bros: the Evolution of the Surveillance State

By Ben Hunt | October 2, 2018 | 0 Comments

The Russians managed their surveillance state with banal thugs. We’re building our own surveillance state in America and throughout the West, managed not by thugs but by our own version of banal evil – the douche bro.

A Game of You

By Ben Hunt | September 30, 2018 | 1 Comment

We’ve reached a new height (depth, really) of what I call “mirror engagement” on social media. If you don’t see yourself in the Missionary you follow, you get mad. How dare you not reflect my views!

Schrödinger’s Senate Hearing

By Ben Hunt | September 28, 2018 | 0 Comments
The cat isn't dead OR alive. It's dead AND alive.

Most people confuse Schrödinger’s Cat with the Observer Effect. It’s a lot weirder and more important than that. In the Widening Gyre of our political dialogue, it is a powerful illustration of we live in completely different realities.

Notes from the Diamond #1: Always Something New to Learn

By David Salem | September 26, 2018 | 0 Comments
Yazstremski waits for the bounce.

Part 1 of a multi-part series that seeks to enhance readers’ deployment of both human and financial capital through the exploration of parallels between money management and professional baseball.

Deadly. Holy. Rough. Immediate.

By Rusty Guinn | September 26, 2018 | 5 Comments
Stephen Fry and Mark Rylance engaging in Immediate Theatre

It’s hard to be larger than life in a smaller than life world. It’s hard to be authentic in your art without being artificial. Good theatre does just that. We’re hoping to do the same in Epsilon Theory.

Missionary Body Language

By Ben Hunt | September 26, 2018 | 0 Comments
Donald Trump Pointing at You

Google “[name] + finger pointing”. Odds are, there are several shots of that politician shaking his or her finger at you, admonishing you with body language to LISTEN UP, BUB. Because that’s what a Missionary does to create Common Knowledge.

The Chinese Panoptistate

By Ben Hunt | September 25, 2018 | 0 Comments

A Twitter user coined the term “Panoptistate” to describe what China is doing with its social data monitoring effort. It’s a good opportunity to revisit the classic ET note about the Panopticon.

Guest Post: The Two Worlds of Data Infrastructure

By Ben Hunt | September 24, 2018 | 0 Comments
Big brother from 1984 looking down

There are two systems states use to control our data: The Black Mirror version in China, and the western system that is well on its way there. There is another way.

Mailbag: Mastering the Art of French Cooking

By Ben Hunt | September 23, 2018 | 0 Comments

In which a fellow Slummerville old-timer writes in with a Savenor’s update: A dream job has been posted, and is now available. But who can afford a dream anymore? Oh, also I got an email from my mom. Hi, mom!

It's a Floor Wax AND a Dessert Topping

By Ben Hunt | September 22, 2018 | 0 Comments
It's a floor wax AND a dessert topping!

Coinbase – do they run a prop desk or don’t they run a prop desk? My answer: it’s not a prop desk. No, what they are doing is worse and less fair to clients than a prop desk.

The Curse of Category

By Ben Hunt | September 21, 2018 | 0 Comments
A famous example of a Type 1 error

In investing and in life, we are always quick to judge the book by its cover. We’re quicker to judge a book by who wrote it. We’re quickest to judge a book by what shelf it’s on.

Mastering the Art of French Cooking

By Ben Hunt | September 19, 2018 | 0 Comments
Julia Child with a knife

In which I discuss that one time I followed Julia Child through a grocery store in the least creepy manner I could manage, and the most delicious white corn I’ve ever enjoyed.

But Our Interests Are Aligned!

By Ben Hunt | September 18, 2018 | 1 Comment
Professor Harold Hill (Harold Hill!)

The modern use of stock-based compensation is a confidence game, in the true sense of the word, that would be very familiar to the Music Man (but he doesn’t know the territory!).

Notes From the Road: Roadkill

By Rusty Guinn | September 17, 2018 | 0 Comments

Part 2 of the Notes from the Road series, about the value of and problems with adaptive frameworks. In this installment, an exploration of……roadkill, and what evolution can tell us about our adaptations.