Epsilon Theory In Full

Epsilon Theory In Full

 

The soul of Epsilon Theory is our long-form content, a library of hundreds of pieces written by Ben, Rusty and others over the course of the last 5+ years. These are the print-and-take-home-for the weekend notes that made Epsilon Theory what it is today.

The Green Protocol: A New Vision for Crypto, Pt 2

By Ben Hunt | September 8, 2021 | 53 Comments

The Green Protocol is a set of rules for the tokenization of symbolic betting markets in positive social good.

I think this is how crypto saves the world.

Our first step on this new path? Let’s plant one billion new trees in North America over the next ten years.

Oh, a Rhinoceros

By Rusty Guinn | September 8, 2021 | 0 Comments

A video made the rounds on various social media platforms last night and this morning. By now you have probably seen it. A young man…

Cursed Knowledge #5: Hot Coffee

By Harper Hunt | September 2, 2021 | 0 Comments

The McDonalds Hot Coffee lawsuit is the archetypal example of nonsense litigation. But there’s a lot more to the story than most people know.

Notes from Camp Kotok 2021

By Brent Donnelly | August 27, 2021 | 4 Comments

ET contributor Brent Donnelly with an end-of-summer compilation of the top–of-mind topics at Camp Kotok!

Prophet of the Pandemic

By Luke Burgis | August 26, 2021 | 14 Comments

Sophocles knew it. Dostoevsky knew it.

Disruption to the biological order and disruption to the social order are one and the same.

Burying the Lede

By Rusty Guinn | August 26, 2021 | 8 Comments

The ability to influence our behaviors as information consumers isn’t confined to whether we are explicitly being told how to think about something. Narrative is just as easily communicated through the selective absence of information, through its placement on a page, through the editorial decision regarding the volume and emphasis of its coverage.

C’mon, Australia

By Ben Hunt | August 25, 2021 | 0 Comments

From the ET Forum … An Australian Pack member living abroad published what I think is an outstanding review of the depths to which Australia’s…

Afghanistan and the Common Knowledge Game

By Ben Hunt | August 23, 2021 | 43 Comments

When the State Department announced on August 12th that it was removing all remaining non-essential personnel from Kabul within 3 days and was considering a relocation of the US embassy to the more defensible airport, the fall of the Afghani government became common knowledge.

And that’s when everything fell apart.

Kabul is Falling

By Ben Hunt | August 18, 2021 | 0 Comments

From the ET Forum … If Barbara Tuchman were alive she would be adding another chapter to her classic The March of Folly. I am fascinated…

The Afghanistan Narratives

By Rusty Guinn | August 17, 2021 | 41 Comments

We are in the very early innings of the narrative formation around responsibility for the outcome in Afghanistan. Steel yourselves for weeks of gaslighting from every angle. Hooray.

ET Podcast #13 – Wanting

By Ben Hunt | August 17, 2021 | 2 Comments

It’s the only question that really matters here in the Age of Nudge: why do we want what we want?

A conversation with Luke Burgis, author of “Wanting: The Power of Mimetic Desire in Everyday Life”.

Cursed Knowledge #4: The Olympics

By Harper Hunt | August 16, 2021 | 0 Comments

The Olympic games are known as a time of triumph and glory. The truth is that a lot more work goes into creating and maintaining that narrative than you’d expect.

How a Narrative Goes Viral

By Rusty Guinn | August 10, 2021 | 47 Comments

It is a fact that migrants here illegally have spread, are spreading, and will spread Covid-19.

It is also a narrative. A dangerous, seductive, rapidly spreading narrative that will cause many of us to shut off our minds to other facts, which is what narratives DO.

How do we parse the two?

Sauron Remains Undefeated

By Ben Hunt | August 9, 2021 | 42 Comments

Here’s my take on this weekend’s Senate wrangling over the infrastructure bill, and the implications for crypto.

The US Treasury is the Eye of Sauron — a gigantic panopticon tower that sweeps the world with its unblinking gaze, seeking out the owners of power, i.e. money.

And Sauron remains undefeated.

This Is What a Wage/Price Inflation Cycle Looks Like

By Ben Hunt | August 6, 2021 | 0 Comments

From the ET Forum … With the jobs report today showing 4% year-over-year wage inflation and 0.4% month-over-month wage inflation, it seems like a good…

Nudging State, Noble Lies

By Ben Hunt | August 4, 2021 | 29 Comments

In the world of Nudge, everyone is an ad man, and the government is just the biggest, baddest ad man of them all.

Narrative Machine Webinar

By Harper Hunt | July 29, 2021 | 0 Comments

The recording of the July 2021, Epsilon Theory webinar about The Narrative Machine.

Low Demand, Low Supply, High Price Expectations

By Ben Hunt | July 28, 2021 | 0 Comments

From the ET Forum … So that’s where we are in our local real estate market – low demand, low supply, high price expectations – and my…

Cursed Knowledge #3: The Molassacre

By Harper Hunt | July 26, 2021 | 4 Comments

The Boston Molassacre was one of the great tragedies of the early 20th century. So why isn’t it treated like one?

Ever Grande

By Marc Rubinstein | July 26, 2021 | 5 Comments

The Chinese real estate developer Evergrande is the epitome of Too Big To Fail. It is truly Ever Grande.

So what happens if it does, in fact, fail?