The Epsilon Theory Archive

“History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” Mark Twain said that, or Abraham Lincoln depending on what corner of the internet you find yourself on any given day. Likewise, there are common themes, topics and subjects that run throughout the Epsilon Theory archive. All of our writing is categorized, tagged and organized to be easily accessible, but beware: your search for truth on one matter may very well lead you down any number of rabbit holes (and we hope that it does).


Choose one or multiple criteria to find just the posts you want:


The goal of most Narratives is to to convince you to sit down and shut up. Read more »


Investing with Icarus

The allure of a fundamental truth is powerful. Investors are hungry for that kind of clarity about markets, but it doesn’t exist. In the first in a series, Rusty discusses a framework for investing in a time of Icarus. Read more »


Most investors think that fundamentals are sound. Most investors think that other investors think that last week's correction was about vol-selling, vol-targeting and algos run amok. But neither of those is the real story. The real story is that everybody knows that everybody knows that inflation will change the way portfolios are built and managed. Read more »


The Two Churchills

As we strive to truly be somebody in the world, we find ourselves forced into a Competitive Game that kills our ability to have a dialogue with one another. Rusty explains what keeps us there. Read more »


The best part about this job is the correspondence with readers… Read more »


Essence of Decision

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