American Hustle
November 17, 2016·0 comments·big data
The political culture has shifted without debate or decision. What used to be disagreement between Americans has become a fundamental question about the other side's morality and basic decency. Markets may be pricing in growth, but institutions are pricing in conflict.
• The narrative shift happened without explanation. Market data shows Trump's win was not a surprise to investors, yet the political framing treats it as a rupture. Something changed in how we talk about the election, not in the election itself.
• Cooperation requires believing the other side is basically good. When voters see the opposing party as composed of racists or contemptibles rather than wrong people with different values, politics stops being a marketplace of ideas and becomes a battle for survival where anything is justified.
• This transformation of politics runs deeper than any single candidate. Trump doesn't create zero-sum competition so much as he naturally operates that way, turning every interaction into a transaction. The real damage is that we've now built political culture around that logic.
• The institutions that depend on positive-sum cooperation are now operating in a competitive framework. Limited government and restraint only work if both sides believe in those restraints. Once you think the other side is evil, those guardrails become obstacles to overcome.
• We're locked into a game with no clear exit. Whether it's the left building back against Trump or the right mobilizing against Democratic "elites," the pattern reinforces itself. The question is not whether we can fix this, but what politics means when both sides are convinced they're defending against an existential threat.
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